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Nei, kandidatene f?r ikke anledning til ? ha med seg eget h?ndkle p? eksamen (kun dette ene arket med h?ndskrevnde notater), s? det kan jo l?nne seg ? l?re denne ene formelen utenat:?

https://www.facebook.com/groups/1589206911336271/posts/4283599865230282/

Dec. 3, 2025 9:12 PM

Our very last teaching-discussing session is on Monday December 1st: there will be Q-and-A opportunities.?

Exam date: December 4th, 9-13. Time: December 4 at 9:00 AM (4 hours), Silurveien 2 Sal 3B. Bring calculator and 1 page with handwritten notes.?

Curriculum, as agreed upon & announced a few times:?

All exercises and all stories worked through in the course, from Hjort-Stoltenberg "Statistical Inference: 600 Exercises, 100 Stories" (preliminary version, 2025). The chapters are "only" 7 and 14, and we've been though perhaps 12 stories. You may backtrack through all messages given, from August to late November, to check these.?

Asgeir and Linus have kokt i hop this list of themes, and I tell them it looks good -- we may also throw in mixture priors, Dirichlet processes, basic maximum likelihood theory.?

* Bayesian master recipe
* decision theory (loss functions, risk, bayes estimators, Stein, minimaxity, admissibility)...

Nov. 27, 2025 4:10 PM

Mon Nov 24: we do Exam firetimers 2017, 3 and 4, and otherwise talk & discuss & ask & answer.?

We've had various "ProcMod" themes in the FocuStat project, From Processes to Models, and here's a talk by Celine Cunen:?

https://www.mn.uio.no/math/english/research/projects/focustat/talks/eysm2019_cc.pdf

Cromwell's Rule: "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible that you may be mistaken", he said, in 1650. So Lindley says: we should always have a little epsilon-part of the prior for the unforeseen -- otherwise the Bayesian will never ever detect it, if something's wrong. If the prior says "lots of swans are different, here's a four-parameter model, and all swans are white", then the Bayesian will NEVER detect that some swans are black.?

Nov. 19, 2025 11:58 PM